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SOLUSD long — 3 Sep 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 104.39 and stopped out at 101.55 after 21.2 hours, closing at -2.72%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-03 15:18
Entry104.39
Stop-loss101.55
Take-profit 1106.466
Take-profit 2 (stretch)107.85
Reward:risk at entry1.22
Outcomestopped out
Close price101.55
Realized P&L-2.72%
Time open21.2 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF bull-aligned on 5m/15m/4h (1h mixed but RSI 71), 1h ADX 22.2 slope +6.4 rising, ER10 0.53 / ER30 0.36, choppiness 37.6 (trending edge), Hurst 0.58, HMM calm 0.9999 — a strengthening recovery uptrend, not chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — +5.2% 24h, net +3.5% 4h, ADX rising, top-traders heavily long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI + positioning — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +5.2, 15m_z +5.7), oi_change +3.6%, taker 1.30 buy-tilt, top-trader pos ratio 2.06 and rising, funding still mild (0.0045 agg, z +0.21) so not crowded — fresh longs entering an aligned trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 74 / 5m 69 overbought into 5d-high resistance (-2.55% overhead) — a rejection there flips this to a fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 104.39; stop 101.55 below the 4h EMA/recent breakout base (~2.7% risk, within ~1x the 3.0% 24h ATR); stretch TP 107.85 (~3.3% up, ~1.2x stop distance) targeting the 5d-high reclaim zone, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: aligned momentum favors continuation but overbought near resistance caps odds.

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