SLVONUSD long — 9 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 61.8864 and stopped out at 60.75 after 15.5 hours, closing at -1.84%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-09 17:03 |
| Entry | 61.8864 |
| Stop-loss | 60.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 62.6146 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 63.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.07 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 60.75 |
| Realized P&L | -1.84% |
| Time open | 15.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull-aligned), 1h ADX 22.4 slope +0.16 (genuine trend, marginally firming), ER_10 0.34 / ER_30 0.26 (modest cleanliness), choppiness 49.4 (neutral), Hurst 0.46 (mildly mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm tape with a clean full-bull EMA stack. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — every voting TF bull-aligned, XAG spot +2.57% 24h, silver ETF proxy +3.07% 1d, macro gold +1.39% 1d confirms the precious-metals bid. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4/4 EMA alignment plus a fresh silver-complex bid (XAGUSDT +2.57%, silver ETF +3.07%, gold +1.39%) is the strongest cluster; the token tracks XAG spot and the macro/cross-asset tailwind is unambiguous (corr +0.81 to XAUT/PAXG). 4. PRE-MORTEM: z_score +2.55 and RV pctile 86% with price pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs means it's extended — a mean-reversion snapback below EMA support invalidates; OI accelerating_down (-1.84% recent half) shows conviction isn't building. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 61.8864; stop below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf at 60.75 (~1.84% risk, roughly 0.6-0.7x the p90 daily range, structural not round); stretch TP at 63.10 (~1.96% reward, R:R ~1.06, inside 4% clamp) toward next round extension, reachable given 24h traversal and firm momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum and full-bull alignment favor upside but extension + accelerating-down OI + weak track record cap it.
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