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SLVONUSD long — 12 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 58.59 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 58.39 with a price move of -0.34%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Entry | 58.59 |
| Stop-loss | 58.02 |
| Take-profit 1 | 59.016 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 59.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 58.39 |
| Realized P&L | -0.34% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 0/4 mixed (5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h/4h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 13.8 slope +1.0 (sub-trend chop), ADX-20 9.3, ER_10 0.67 but ER_30 0.22, choppiness 53 (neutral), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm chop with a fresh lower-TF bounce inside a mild HTF bear tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: two forces — HTF bear stack vs a hot short-term bounce backed by strong recent taker buying (1h ratio 1.47, last several buckets 1.98/2.86/1.47) and net +0.24% 24h; the near-term flow modestly favors long, and rolling_z -1.20 (stretched below 20d mean) supports a mean-reversion bounce continuing. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the buy-side taker flow cluster (persistent >1 ratios late in the window) plus 5m/15m bull EMA stacks and an oversold-relative z-score lean long for a continuation of the bounce toward the 20d mean; silver spot (XAGUSDT +0.31% 24h) is supportive, not falling. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h bear stacks reassert and price rolls back under the recent low — a failed bounce back into the down-tilt. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 58.59; rv_24h very low (9.4%, pctile 5%), avg 24h traversal ~1.33%, so keep geometry tight. Stop below the bounce base at 58.02 (~0.97% risk, ~within realized range); stretch TP at 59.30 (~1.21% gain, R:R ~1.25, inside clamps) — the area toward the 20d mean and prior consolidation. 6. EXPECTATION: modest single-cluster edge in a chop regime with weak track record on this asset; p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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