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SLVONUSD long — 20 Sep 2026 (expired)

This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.2453 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 60.6381 with a price move of +0.65%, and does not count in the win rate.

AssetSLVONUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-20 01:15
Entry60.2453
Stop-loss59.62
Take-profit 160.6381
Take-profit 2 (stretch)60.9
Reward:risk at entry1.05
Outcomeexpired flat
Close price60.6381
Realized P&L+0.65%
Time open24 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (2/4) — 5m mixed (RSI 26.6 oversold), 15m/1h bull_aligned, 4h mixed (RSI 62); 1h ADX 11.3 slope -1.8, ER_10 0.04 / ER_30 0.09, choppiness 50.9, Hurst 0.42, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, low-vol chop with no directional cleanliness. 2. LEAN CHECK: only thin leans — 1h/15m EMAs bull_aligned and taker_buy_sell_1h 0.66 is actually sell-skewed, net_move_4h/12h slightly negative, price at z+1.54 near top of range (5d high only -1.18%); flow (OI accelerating_down, oi_15m_z -1.03) contradicts a fresh long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the modest edge favors LONG on the mid-TF EMA stack and the deep 5m oversold RSI (26.6) as a mean-reversion bounce inside the calm range, aligned with the asset's persistent short-term bull character (three prior wins all long here). 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits +1.54 z-score near 5d high with OI bleeding out (accelerating_down) and sell-skewed takers — a rejection off the range top invalidates the bounce. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.2453; stop below the 5m oversold structure at 59.62 (~1.04% ≈ 0.5x the ~2.6% 7d range, honest invalidation); stretch TP at 60.90 (~1.09%, ~1.05x stop distance, R:R ~1.0), a reclaim toward the 5d high which is only -1.18% away. 6. EXPECTATION: calm chop, thin edge — modest p_tp1, meaningful p_expire given ER near zero and low vol.

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