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SLVONUSD long — 16 Oct 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 52.4059 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 51.83 with a price move of -1.10%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-16 03:50 |
| Entry | 52.4059 |
| Stop-loss | 51.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 53.0324 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 53.45 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 51.83 |
| Realized P&L | -1.10% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m/15m bull-stacked, 1h/4h bear-stacked), 1h ADX 30.8 slope -0.21 (moderate trend, barely fading), choppiness 41.8 (transitional-leaning-trend), ER_10 0.43/ER_30 0.43 (middling cleanliness), Hurst 0.61 (mild persistence), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol tape where the HTF bear structure is being overridden by a fresh intraday bull push. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — the recent momentum is clearly up (net_move +1.14% 4h, +1.29% 12h, +3.17% 24h), 5m/15m EMA bull-stacked with RSI 62-66, silver spot XAG +3.3% 24h, gold +1.36% 1d and macro gold-friendly (DXY -0.43%, VIX +3.2%), rolling z -1.12 (reclaiming from oversold). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is momentum/structure — a fresh reclaim from a z=-1.1 low with all four horizons of net move positive and the lower TFs flipping bull-stacked, supported by a correlated silver-spot rally; this is a counter-HTF-trend reclaim that momentum confirms. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h EMA still bear-aligned with RSI 45 — if price rolls back under the 1h EMA cluster and the 15m stack flips bear, the HTF bear reasserts and this bounce fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 52.41; stop below the intraday reclaim shelf at 51.60 (~1.53% / within avg daily range 2.6% and RV); take_profit_1 at 53.45, ~1.98% / ~1.28x the stop distance, a reachable stretch toward the 5d-high area (-5.7% is far, but 24h traversal avg 1.75% supports a push into prior resistance), well inside the 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors the long but HTF bear and middling ER temper it.
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