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SLVONUSD long — 26 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 49.2277 and stopped out at 48.53 after 14 hours, closing at -1.42%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-26 14:57 |
| Entry | 49.2277 |
| Stop-loss | 48.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 49.8231 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 50.22 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.46 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 48.53 |
| Realized P&L | -1.42% |
| Time open | 14 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/4h bear-aligned, 15m/1h mixed), 1h ADX 23.1 slope -0.48 (modest trend, fading), choppiness 52.97 (transitional), ER_10 0.036/ER_30 0.148 (very noisy, netting almost nowhere), Hurst 0.57, HMM calm — this is a chop/transitional regime, not a clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: thin two-sided tape — 4h EMA bear-stacked and price well below extrema highs (-6.5% from 5d high, z -0.92 cheap), but recent net moves are all mildly positive (4h +0.35%, 12h +0.47%, 24h +0.68%) and silver spot XAG +0.91% 24h; OI z very elevated (+3.3 15m) building but taker 1h 0.84 (sellers). The modest cheap-reclaim + positive recent momentum + rising silver spot gives a slight long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: price is oversold on 20d basis (z -0.92, near 5d/20d low +1.65%) with positive 4h/12h/24h net momentum and the silver spot reference ticking up — a mean-reversion bounce off the lower band in a choppy regime. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 4h EMA stack is bear-aligned with 4h ADX 52 — if that HTF bear trend reasserts and price loses the +1.65% 5d-low shelf, long is wrong. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 49.23, stop below the recent low shelf at 48.55 (~1.4% stop, within the 2.85% 7d daily range / rv context), take_profit_1 at 50.22 (~2.0% up, ~1.45x stop distance, inside 4% clamp) toward the 5d-high reclaim zone. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime favors neither strongly; same-regime long calls are near coinflip — p_tp1 42, p_sl 40, p_expire 18.
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