SLVONUSD short — 28 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 52.2041 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 51.86 with a price move of +0.66%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-28 01:03 |
| Entry | 52.2041 |
| Stop-loss | 53.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 51.3316 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 50.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 51.86 |
| Realized P&L | +0.66% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m EMA stacks bear_aligned, 1h/4h mixed, alignment 2/4, 1h ADX 30.5 rising (slope +2.7), CI 37.9 (trending edge), Hurst 0.53 neutral — a downside leg still in force but RSI deeply oversold (5m/15m ~17, 1h ~24). 2. LEAN CHECK: momentum is one-directional down (net -1.7% 4h, -3.8% 24h, silver spot XAG also -3.8%), OI accelerating_down with 24h OI -8.3% — a trend-aligned short lean, though oversold stretch caps confidence. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — accelerating_down OI, taker last-hour 0.576 (heavy selling), silver spot confirming the same -3.8% move, macro gold only mildly up so no strong sympathy bid; the bear leg has confirming flow. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold across 5m/15m/1h and price sits +0.6% off the 5d low — an oversold-bounce reclaim above ~53.0 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the 4h structure / recent bounce zone at 53.30 (~2.1% above), TP at the next downside extension toward 50.75 (~2.8% below, ~1.35x risk), reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.66% and 30d p90 range 5.5%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold stretch tempers the trend edge; asset WR 42.9% and short WR 42.6% argue for humility.
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