SLVONUSD short — 1 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 52.4883 and stopped out at 53.12 after 21.3 hours, closing at -1.20%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-01 07:06 |
| Entry | 52.4883 |
| Stop-loss | 53.12 |
| Take-profit 1 | 52.0033 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 51.68 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 53.12 |
| Realized P&L | -1.20% |
| Time open | 21.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/15m/4h EMA stacks all bear_aligned but 5m bull, alignment 2/4 mixed, 1h ADX 20.6 with negative slope (-0.83, fading), Hurst 0.43 (mild mean-reversion), CI 53.3 mid-range, HMM calm — a soft, low-conviction bear drift with a small short-term bounce. 2. LEAN CHECK: net moves are negative across 4h/12h/24h and higher-TF EMAs are bearish, but the most recent 3 hourly taker buckets (1.49, 1.89, 2.31) and 1h taker ratio 0.62… actually 1h ratio 0.62 is sell-heavy but the raw hourly buckets show heavy buying in the last 3 hours — mixed near-term; slight bear structural lean holds. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: higher-TF bear alignment (15m/1h/4h) plus OI accelerating_down (oi_15m_z -0.37, oi_change_recent_half -2.55%) shows position unwind into weakness, and silver spot XAG also -0.58% — trend-aligned modest short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the strong recent hourly taker buying (2.3x last bucket) plus top-trader position ratio 2.2 long could spark a reclaim of the 5d-high band; a break back above ~53.05 invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 52.49, stop above recent bounce highs beyond invalidation at 53.12 (0.63/1.2%), TP1 stretch at 51.68 near 20d-low structure (0.81/1.54%), R:R ~1.29. 6. EXPECTATION: given chop-ish tape and fading ADX, meaningful expire probability.
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