SLVONUSD short — 18 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.0546 and stopped out at 58.35 after 13.1 hours, closing at -2.27%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-18 23:28 |
| Entry | 57.0546 |
| Stop-loss | 58.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 56.1518 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 55.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 58.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.27% |
| Time open | 13.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4) — 5m/15m/1h all bear_aligned with deeply oversold RSIs (29/21/19), 4h still bull_aligned; 1h ADX 40.4 with rising slope (+6.7) = a genuine, strengthening downtrend, ER_10 0.89 (very clean one-way move), choppiness 30.9 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.45 mildly mean-reverting, HMM calm — a higher-TF uptrend rolled into a clean, accelerating near-term downside break. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly tilts short — net_move -1.11% (4h) / -3.55% (12h) / -4.62% (24h), price at fresh 5d/20d/90d lows (+0.000 = sitting on the low). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+momentum — bear EMA stack across 5m/15m/1h, ADX 40 rising, ER_10 0.89 clean, silver spot XAG down -4.5% confirming; this asset's own track record shows shorts winning here (three recent short wins in this exact pullback pattern). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 1h at 19 (extreme oversold) plus z_score -3.12 and rising OI/funding signal a snapback bounce is the main risk — a reclaim of the intraday broken level would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.05; stop above recent structure/EMA reclaim at 58.35 (~2.3% = within 0.5-1.5x of rv-implied daily range given atr_1h 0.60%); target the continuation lower at 55.55 (~2.6%, R:R ~1.15, inside clamps), a reachable extension given 24h traversal already -4.6%. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold snapback risk is real, so keep meaningful p_sl and p_expire.
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