SLVONUSD short — 1 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 58.9865 and hit its target at 58.3046 after 10.1 hours, closing at +1.16%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-01 08:33 |
| Entry | 58.9865 |
| Stop-loss | 60.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 58.3046 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 57.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.07 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 58.3046 |
| Realized P&L | +1.16% |
| Time open | 10.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF labeled bear_trend with 5m/15m/1h all bear-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 20.06 rising (slope +2.52), ADX-20 17.7, ER_10 0.56/ER_30 0.20, choppiness 44.8, Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a firming bear drift on an otherwise mean-reverting low-vol tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: two competing forces — active bear structure (all fast TFs bear-aligned, ADX firming, net_move -2.3% 4h) versus deep stretch (rolling z-20d -2.52, RSI 20-25 oversold across 5m/15m/1h, sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d low); with ADX firming and momentum fresh-down I lean SHORT into the active downtrend rather than fading an oversold that has no reclaim. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh bear momentum cluster — 5m/15m/1h bear EMA stack + ADX slope +2.52 + oi_momentum_state accelerating_down + net_move -3.08% 24h, all trend-aligned as silver (XAG -3.13% 24h) sells off in sympathy. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI oversold (20-25) + z-score -2.52 + at hard 20d/90d low is prime mean-reversion fuel — a sharp oversold bounce reclaiming the broken level invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 58.99, stop above the recent intraday supply/reclaim zone at 60.05 (~1.8% ≈ within realized range given rv_24h 52% and atr_pct); take_profit_1 at 57.85, a fresh-low extension ~1.9% down, R:R ~1.08, inside clamps and reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold extremes fight the short so p_expire meaningful and bounce risk elevated.
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