SLVONUSD short — 2 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.7237 and stopped out at 58.98 after 11.4 hours, closing at -2.18%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-02 02:03 |
| Entry | 57.7237 |
| Stop-loss | 58.98 |
| Take-profit 1 | 56.8935 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 56.34 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 58.98 |
| Realized P&L | -2.18% |
| Time open | 11.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF labeled bear_trend with 5m/15m/1h all bear-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 37.2 rising (slope +3.09), ADX-20 31, ER_10 0.68 (clean directional), choppiness 40.9 (leaning trend), Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a firm, efficient bear drift, though RV at 82nd pctile flags elevated vol. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — active bear structure, net_move -4.6% 24h, silver spot XAG down -4.7% confirming, funding pressure building (z +3.27, momentum +2.90 = crowded longs to squeeze). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — three fast TFs bear-aligned with rising ADX and high ER_10 0.68 shows the down-move is efficient not noisy; crowded funding (z +3.27) + top-trader long ratio 2.34 = trapped longs providing fuel below. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits rolling z-20d -2.59 and only +0.28% off 90d low with 1h/4h RSI ~28-29 oversold — a mean-reversion bounce off the low is the real risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.72; stop above the recent 4h swing / prior bear-flag ~58.98 (2.18% = ~1.5x atr context, within RV range); stretch target down to 56.34 (2.39% = ~1.1x stop distance) toward the extension below the 90d-low breakdown, R:R ~1.1. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-into-low tension caps conviction — modest short edge with real bounce risk.
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