SLVONUSD short — 4 Sep 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 60.07 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 59.98 with a price move of +0.15%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-04 16:03 |
| Entry | 60.07 |
| Stop-loss | 60.86 |
| Take-profit 1 | 59.482 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 59.09 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 59.98 |
| Realized P&L | +0.15% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed/transitional; 1h ADX 37.2 but slope -1.26 (fading), ADX-20 34.6, ER_10 0.19 / ER_30 0.06 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 45 (neutral), Hurst 0.44 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm tape with a fading trend and a fresh downside grind. 2. LEAN CHECK: net momentum is down (-1.93% 24h, -0.81% 12h) though the latest 4h ticked +1.06% — evidence is mildly two-sided but the OI unwind and accelerating_down state tilt it modestly bearish. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_momentum_state accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -1.72, OI -2.26% 24h, funding_z -0.71 unwinding, top-trader pos ratio slipping (-0.071 over 4h) all point to longs bleeding off into a soft silver spot (XAG -1.16%); this is a slow bearish drift not a clean trend, so keep it modest. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the +1.06% 4h net move plus 5m/15m RSI back above 49-55 could be the start of a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d-low (+4.3% away) that reclaims and stops a short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.07, stop_loss 60.86 just beyond the recent 4h bounce high / intraday structure (~1.3% ≈ 0.6x the 24h avg range of 1.96%), take_profit_1 59.09 (~1.63% down, RR ~1.24) toward the lower intraday shelf, well inside 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: mean-reverting Hurst + neutral choppiness + weak edge → meaningful expire probability.
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