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SLVONUSD short — 10 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 58.2261 and hit its target at 57.7004 after 6.2 hours, closing at +0.90%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-10 12:48 |
| Entry | 58.2261 |
| Stop-loss | 59.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 57.7004 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 57.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.06 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 57.7004 |
| Realized P&L | +0.90% |
| Time open | 6.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed/transitional, 1h ADX 21.8 slope +4.2 (firming) but only 5m is bear_aligned while 15m/1h/4h are mixed; Hurst 0.38 mean-reverting, choppiness 22.8 (edging trend), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm tape mid a sharp down-impulse (net -3.8% 4h, -4.6% 12h). 2. LEAN CHECK: RSI deeply oversold across all TFs (5m 19.9, 15m 10.5, 1h 22.6), z-score -2.04, price sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d low (5d_low +0.00) — a mean-reverting bounce lean is credible; but the fresh down-momentum, silver spot -3.15% and total mcap -4.26% argue the path of least resistance is still down near-term. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: modest SHORT bias — momentum is decisively down (4h/12h/24h all negative), OI accelerating_up +7.3% recent half with taker still >1 suggesting fresh longs being added into a falling market (fuel for further liquidation-style continuation), and silver spot itself is bleeding. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the RSI 10.5/z -2.04 oversold extreme at the exact 5d low is a textbook mean-reversion setup — a reclaim of ~58.8 with momentum invalidates the short and I'd rather step aside than fight an oversold snap. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 58.23; stop above the recent minor structure/reclaim zone at 59.05 (~1.4% — within silver's realized range given rv elevated to pctile 100); target the continuation leg toward 57.35, a ~1.5% stretch giving R:R ~1.1. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold extreme caps continuation odds — p_tp1 40, p_sl 37, p_expire 23.
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