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SLVONUSD short — 10 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 57.7327 and stopped out at 58.55 after 17.6 hours, closing at -1.42%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-10 19:03 |
| Entry | 57.7327 |
| Stop-loss | 58.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 57.0831 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 56.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 58.55 |
| Realized P&L | -1.42% |
| Time open | 17.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed/transitional but bear-tilted (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h/4h mixed), 1h ADX 36 slope +5.7 (genuine trend firming), ER_10 0.76 (clean recent one-way path), choppiness 26.3 (trending), Hurst 0.46 (mildly mean-reverting), HMM calm — a low-vol calm tape mid a sharp down-impulse (net -1.2% 4h, -5.5% 12h). 2. LEAN CHECK: RSI deeply oversold (15m 23, 1h 23.5) and rolling z -2.53 argue exhaustion, but momentum, firming ADX, silver spot -5.4%, and price sitting at 5d/20d/90d low (dist +0.0 from extrema) favor the down-continuation — mild short lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: clean bearish momentum cluster — high ER_10, firming ADX, taker ratio 0.767 (sell pressure last hour), net moves negative across 4h/12h/24h, XAG spot confirming -5.4%; trend-aligned continuation on the near-TF bear stacks. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI oversold + z -2.53 could trigger a sharp mean-reversion bounce off the 90d low, invalidating the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.73, stop_loss 58.55 above the recent 4h consolidation and beyond the oversold-bounce risk (~1.4% ≈ 1x atr_pct_4h regime); take_profit_1 56.65 targeting a fresh low extension (~1.87% move, R:R ~1.32, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but deep oversold caps follow-through and raises expire odds.
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