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SLVONUSD short — 22 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 59.0804 and stopped out at 59.74 after 3.7 hours, closing at -1.12%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 08:38 |
| Entry | 59.0804 |
| Stop-loss | 59.72 |
| Take-profit 1 | 58.6842 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 58.42 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 59.74 |
| Realized P&L | -1.12% |
| Time open | 3.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (2/4) — 5m/15m bear_aligned (RSI 38/48), 1h/4h EMA mixed; 1h ADX 17.9 slope +5.56 (firming but sub-20), ER_10 0.60 but ER_30 0.20, choppiness 35.4, Hurst 0.43, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm low-vol tape with a fresh short-term downthrust and mildly trending short-frame structure. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning near-term — net_move_4h -1.32%, net_move_24h -1.63%, silver spot XAG -1.67%, 5m/15m bear_aligned with strong short-frame ADX (40/47); the down-momentum is the cleanest edge. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short — short-frame EMAs bear_aligned with high 5m/15m ADX confirming a genuine near-term downthrust, spot silver falling -1.67% in lockstep (asset tracks XAG closely), and macro silver ETF proxy -0.50%; this is trend-aligned on the timeframe that matters intraday. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI already 33.9 (oversold) and this asset's own recent shorts have both won AND lost — an oversold bounce reclaiming the 15m EMA stack invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 59.08; stop above short-frame invalidation and recent bounce zone at 59.72 (~1.08% ≈ ~0.9x atr_pct scaled, within 24h RV of ~1.2% typical traversal but calibrated to the elevated ADX-driven move); TP1 stretch at 58.42 (~1.12% down, R:R ~1.03), a level near the 5d-low region price can reach in a continuation. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold near-term but momentum-favored short in a chop-prone asset (51.8% own WR) — modest edge.
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