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SLVONUSD short — 30 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 54.712 and stopped out at 55.42 after 11.4 hours, closing at -1.29%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-30 15:35 |
| Entry | 54.712 |
| Stop-loss | 55.42 |
| Take-profit 1 | 54.1648 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 53.8 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 55.42 |
| Realized P&L | -1.29% |
| Time open | 11.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (EMA bear-aligned every frame), 4h ADX 36 with 4h RSI 28.8 (oversold, genuine trend) but 1h ADX only 15.4 slope -1.3 (fading into chop), choppiness 50.9, ER_30 0.06 (very noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.55, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a real 4h bear stack that has stalled into 1h chop, sitting at fresh 5d/20d/90d low. 2. LEAN CHECK: bear-leaning on the dominant 4h/1h EMA stack and negative net moves (4h -0.64%, 12h -1.08%, 24h -0.94%), with silver-spot ref XAG also -0.87% and SLV proxy -0.64% 1d confirming the macro tilt. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full bearish EMA stack across all frames plus taker ratio 0.89 (sellers dominant), funding_z +1.05 building (longs paying, crowded), and price pinned at the low with rolling z -1.8; this matches the winning short template on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 28.8 oversold + rolling z -1.8 + fresh 90d low is prime mean-reversion territory — a reclaim of ~55.1 with the 5m/15m turning up would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 54.712, stop above recent structure/invalidation at 55.42 (~1.3% — inside 0.5-1.5x the 2.23% 7d range), target the stretch down at 53.80 (~1.67% below, R:R ~1.29 vs stop) — an honest structural continuation reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal ~1.49% and p90 range ~4.9%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-into-chop caps the edge; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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