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SOLUSD long — 30 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 119.0432 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 117.959 with a price move of -0.91%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-30 14:35 |
| Entry | 119.0432 |
| Stop-loss | 116.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 120.8773 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 122.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 117.959 |
| Realized P&L | -0.91% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 on EMA stacks but 1h ADX 15.1 (slope +4.7, firming from lower) / 4h ADX 16.3, ER10 0.018 / ER30 0.011 (path nets essentially nowhere), choppiness 51.7, Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0 — bull-stacked structure but a genuinely choppy, low-efficiency tape, not a clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG lean — full bull EMA stack across all TFs, ADX slope turning up, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +0.84, recent-half +2.4%), top-trader position ratio 2.37 heavily long; opposed by net -1.05% 24h / -0.78% 4h softness and taker 0.99 (neutral). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + positioning — every EMA stack is bull_aligned and top traders are 2.37x long with OI building into it, price sitting near 5d-low (+1.7%) after a shallow pullback offers a trend-aligned dip-buy. 4. PRE-MORTEM: loss of the 5d-low pivot (~117) on expanding OI would flip this into a fresh leg down and invalidate the bull structure. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 119.04; stop below the 5d-low/recent swing at 116.55 (~2.1% risk, ~1x the 24h RV traversal); stretch TP at 122.10 (~2.6% up, R:R ~1.2), a structural retest of the 5d-high vicinity, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy low-efficiency tape caps conviction — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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