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SLVONUSD short — 2 Oct 2026 (stopped out)

This short on SLVONUSD entered at 55.4614 and stopped out at 56.14 after 8.4 hours, closing at -1.22%.

AssetSLVONUSD
Directionshort
Issued (UTC)2026-10-02 04:05
Entry55.4614
Stop-loss56.14
Take-profit 154.9626
Take-profit 2 (stretch)54.63
Reward:risk at entry1.23
Outcomestopped out
Close price56.14
Realized P&L-1.22%
Time open8.4 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m+15m mixed, 1h+4h bear-aligned), 1h ADX 10.4 slope -0.88 and ADX-20 8.8 (no 1h trend / chop), 4h ADX 27.7 (genuine 4h bear), choppiness 57, ER_10 0.17 / ER_30 0.13 (very noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.51, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a real 4h bear stack stalled into 1h chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning — 1h+4h EMA bear-aligned, 4h RSI 46, but a fresh +0.96% 4h / +1.06% 12h bounce and taker 0.73 (sellers active last hour) argue the bounce is fading back into the dominant bear structure. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the trend-aligned short — 1h+4h bear EMA stack with 4h ADX ~28 is the only genuine trend here, and the recent short-term pop has stalled (net_24h -0.14%, taker_1h 0.73 flipping to sell); this exact "4h bear stalled into 1h chop" setup has repeatedly won short on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a clean reclaim above the 5d-high region (~+4.7% up) with sustained taker >1 and OI building long would break the bear stack and invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 55.4614; stop above the recent bounce high / structure at 56.14 (~1.23% ≈ ~0.9x the 24h ~1.33% traversal); stretch target down at 54.63 (~1.50% ≈ 1.2x stop distance, inside clamps) toward the midrange / prior consolidation. 6. EXPECTATION: noisy chop with a trend lean — modest edge, meaningful expire risk given dead 1h ADX.

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