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SOLUSD long — 2 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 121.1123 and hit its target at 122.5749 after 26 minutes, closing at +1.21%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 04:05 |
| Entry | 121.1123 |
| Stop-loss | 118.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 122.5749 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 123.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 122.5749 |
| Realized P&L | +1.21% |
| Time open | 26 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/15m/4h bull_aligned, 1h mixed), 1h ADX 16.6 slope +3.9 (sub-trend but firming), ER10 0.62 / ER30 0.24 / choppiness 40.9 (recent 10-bar push cleaner, 30-bar noisier), Hurst 0.36 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0, F&G 72 Greed — chop/transitional with a fresh near-term bull impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG lean — net +1.85% 4h, +3.39% 12h fresh upside momentum, taker last-bar 1.21 buy-heavy. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi_5m_z +2.83 / 15m_z +2.88 (fresh longs piling in), agg_oi +1.65%, top-trader position ratio 2.45 and account ratio 1.86 (smart money heavily long), all stacked on bullish 12h momentum and 3/4 bull EMA stacks; SOL track record 66.7% wr on this exact long-in-chop setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 76 overbought + Hurst 0.36 mean-reverting means this impulse can snap back fast; price only -2.69% from 5d/20d/90d high so overhead resistance is near. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 121.11, stop below the recent swing/12h base at 118.95 (~1.78% risk, within ~0.9x the ~2% ATR/RV range), take_profit_1 at 123.55 toward the 5d high retest (~2.01% reward, R:R ~1.13, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum + OI build favors continuation but overbought/mean-revert and near-high resistance temper it.
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