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SLVONUSD short — 2 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 54.2807 and stopped out at 54.98 after 3.5 hours, closing at -1.29%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 15:50 |
| Entry | 54.2807 |
| Stop-loss | 54.98 |
| Take-profit 1 | 53.7943 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 53.47 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 54.98 |
| Realized P&L | -1.29% |
| Time open | 3.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m+4h bear-aligned, 15m+1h mixed), 1h ADX 11.5 slope +1.4 and ADX-20 8.8 (no 1h trend/chop), 4h ADX 27.6 (genuine 4h bear), choppiness 46, ER_10 0.44 / ER_30 0.08 (noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.48, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a 4h bear stack stalled into 1h chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning — 4h+5m EMA bear, net_move_4h -1.9% / 12h -2.1% fresh downside momentum, OI accelerating_down (oi_change_recent_half -7%), taker 0.94 (sell-tilted); no clean reclaim to fade. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh 4h/12h down-momentum confirmed by OI bleeding on the drop (accelerating_down, oi -5.6% 24h) — longs unwinding into weakness, trend-aligned short that this asset's track record favors (prior shorts in same stall won repeatedly). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 25.6 / 15m RSI 29.7 oversold and z-score -1.65 at 5d/20d low — a mean-reversion bounce back toward 55.0 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 54.28; stop above intraday structure/recent chop at 54.98 (1.29% ≈ ~0.5x the 2.4% daily range, beyond the oversold-bounce zone); TP at 53.47 (1.49% down), reward:risk ~1.16, inside clamps, a structural extension of the fresh leg reachable within 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold risk and chop keep p_expire meaningful.
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