Home › Signals › October 2026 › XAUTUSD
XAUTUSD short — 2 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on XAUTUSD entered at 4,157.8 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 4,144.9 with a price move of +0.31%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | XAUTUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 15:35 |
| Entry | 4,157.8 |
| Stop-loss | 4,193.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,135.1 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,120 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.06 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 4,144.9 |
| Realized P&L | +0.31% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Chop/low-trend — MTF 2/4 (5m & 4h bear_aligned, 15m & 1h mixed), 1h ADX 11.2 (sub-trend) slope +0.68 flat, choppiness 45.9 mid, ER-10 0.30/ER-30 0.025 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.55 mild persistence, HMM calm full-conf; gold spot -0.34%/24h, token premium +0.18% (Delta mildly bid). 2. LEAN CHECK: thin SHORT lean — the only aligned structure is bearish (5m & 4h bear_aligned, 4h ADX 33.7), fresh net_move_4h -0.72% and 12h -0.65% down-leg, taker 0.93 (sellers), OI accelerating_down (oi_change_recent_half -5.17%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: price is rolling over on the HTF side — 4h bear_aligned with real ADX (33.7), gold spot red, momentum freshly negative across 4h/12h/24h, OI bleeding on an accelerating_down state; rolling_z -1.23 is extended but trend remains south. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader pos ratio 3.86 (heavily long) plus rolling_z -1.23 and distance from 5d-low only +0.68% flag a mean-reversion bounce that would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4157.78; stop above the recent intraday swing/reclaim at 4193.5 (~0.86% ≈ 0.57x the 7d daily range, within stop-width); target 4120.0 (~0.91% below, structural prior-low zone and ~1.06x the stop distance, inside clamps, reachable within avg 24h traversal 0.72%). 6. EXPECTATION: fresh down-momentum but chop + extended rolling_z and heavy top-trader longs temper conviction.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.