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SLVONUSD short — 14 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 50.6505 and stopped out at 51.6 after 18.1 hours, closing at -1.87%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-14 15:50 |
| Entry | 50.6505 |
| Stop-loss | 51.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 49.9722 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 49.52 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 51.6 |
| Realized P&L | -1.87% |
| Time open | 18.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 67.9 slope +4.3 (very strong trend, still firming), choppiness 25.6 (strongly trending), ER_10 0.98 (clean one-way downleg), Hurst 0.47 neutral, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a powerful, clean low-vol bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — every TF bear-stacked, net moves negative across all horizons (-4.6% 4h / -5.8% 12h / -5.8% 24h), silver spot XAG down 5.9% confirming the move is real not a token artifact. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend alignment + accelerating downside flow is the strongest cluster — all four TFs bear, ADX firming at 67.9, and silver spot ETF proxy -3.6% 1d; this is trend-aligned short continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 11 / 15m RSI 19 / 4h RSI 14 all deeply oversold with z-score -4.9 — a sharp mean-reversion bounce would invalidate near-term; top-trader pos ratio 3.88 long and OI accelerating up are the contradicting cluster. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 50.65; stop above the intraday structural bounce zone at 51.60 (dist ~1.88%, ~0.6x the 24h RV range given rv_24h is elevated); take_profit_1 stretch at 49.52 (dist ~2.23%, ~1.19x stop distance, R:R ~1.19, inside clamps) targeting continuation toward prior support. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but extreme oversold caps the odds; p_tp1 48 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 18.
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