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SLVONUSD short — 25 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 48.55 and stopped out at 49.2 after 20 hours, closing at -1.34%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-25 01:57 |
| Entry | 48.55 |
| Stop-loss | 49.18 |
| Take-profit 1 | 48.1 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 47.8 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 49.2 |
| Realized P&L | -1.34% |
| Time open | 20 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 but 1h/4h EMA both bear-aligned, 1h ADX 53.9 (slope -3.8, strong but fading), choppiness 52.9 (transitional), ER_10 0.43/ER_30 0.21 (noisy path netting little), Hurst 0.54, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong-but-now-fading bear trend with low 24h RV (3rd pctile). 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — HTF (1h/4h) EMA bear-stacked, price sits at the 5d/20d/90d low region (dist to low +0.37%), rolling z -1.82 deeply stretched; but z-stretch + oversold 4h RSI 27.3 and the most-recent taker ratio collapse to 0.17 argue against chasing new lows. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend (1h+4h bear EMA, high ADX) which has paid repeatedly on this asset (3 recent short wins); taker pressure this last hour is heavily sell-side (0.17) confirming continuation pressure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is at 90d/5d lows with z -1.82 and 4h RSI oversold — a reclaim bounce off the low would invalidate; ADX slope turning negative warns the trend is tiring. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 48.55; stop above the recent swing/invalidation at 49.18 (~1.3% = ~1.1x 24h traversal of 1.30%, within RV band); stretch target 47.80 structural continuation toward fresh lows (~1.55% ≈ 1.2x stop distance, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched + fading ADX tempers edge, meaningful expire given low RV.
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