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SLVONUSD short — 30 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 44.8632 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 44.77 with a price move of +0.21%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-30 14:27 |
| Entry | 44.8632 |
| Stop-loss | 45.78 |
| Take-profit 1 | 44.1833 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 43.73 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 44.77 |
| Realized P&L | +0.21% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (5m/15m/1h/4h all EMA bear-stacked), 1h ADX 44.6 slope +5.6 and 4h ADX 52.6 (strong, firming HTF bear), choppiness 33.1 (<38, trending), ER_10 0.75/ER_30 0.55 (clean one-way leg), Hurst 0.54, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong, clean, firming bear trend on a fresh leg down (-6.0% 24h). 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — all net moves negative (4h -2.1%, 12h -3.8%, 24h -6.0%), OI falling -10.3% (shorts/longs exiting into weakness), funding momentum building, silver spot XAG -5.7%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend alignment is the dominant cluster — 4/4 bear with rising ADX and clean ER on a continuation leg; OI decline + taker ratio 0.84 (sellers dominant) add a flow cluster; same-regime track record is 4-of-5 recent shorts won. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (1h 17.9, 4h 18.5) and z-score -3.0 — a mean-reversion bounce off the 90d low (+0.02%) would invalidate a fresh short entry. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 44.8632; stop above the recent intraday swing at 45.78 (~2.0% = ~1.2x 1h atr, within range given RV at 49th pctile); target the continuation toward 43.73 (~2.5% = ~1.25x stop distance), reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.75% and current -6% momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: trend is strong but oversold RSI + z-score -3 raise bounce risk, so I temper p_tp1.
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