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SOLUSD short — 30 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 94.585 and stopped out at 96.78 after 10.4 hours, closing at -2.32%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-30 14:27 |
| Entry | 94.585 |
| Stop-loss | 96.78 |
| Take-profit 1 | 93.244 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 92.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.02 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 96.78 |
| Realized P&L | -2.32% |
| Time open | 10.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF (4/4 bear-aligned), ADX 1h 32 rising (+1.96), Hurst 0.30 (mean-reverting/trending-down bias), funding near-flat — a genuine, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence leans short (trend-aligned), but price sits +0.63% off the 5d/20d/90d low with z-score -2.81 (deeply stretched) and RV at 96th pctile, so chasing the low here is risky — I take the short but with modest confidence. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend (4/4 bear EMA stack, ADX rising, net -7.1% 24h) aligned with OI unwind (-11% 24h) — a trend-aligned continuation lower. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is pressed against the 90d low with oversold RSI (5m/15m ~29) and taker ratio spiking to 1.47 — a short-cover bounce off the low invalidates the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: 1h ATR ~1.37%, recent SL-hit stops ~1.9-2.4%; anchor stop above the 4h structure / recent swing at 96.78 (~2.3% above entry), target the stretch at 92.45 (~2.26% below, structural break of the 90d low), R:R ~0.98→ widen TP slightly to 92.35 for R:R ≥1.0, within 1.5x/4% clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors continuation but proximity to the low and oversold stretch cap it; the recent same-regime record near lows is 1-3 at stops.
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