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SLVONUSD short — 3 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 44.212 and stopped out at 45.02 after 4.1 hours, closing at -1.83%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-03 08:53 |
| Entry | 44.212 |
| Stop-loss | 45.02 |
| Take-profit 1 | 43.6648 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 43.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 45.02 |
| Realized P&L | -1.83% |
| Time open | 4.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (all TFs EMA bear-stacked), 1h ADX 40.6 slope -0.41 (strong but barely fading), 4h ADX 37, choppiness 26.6 (<38, clearly trending), ER_10 0.94 (very clean recent one-way push) / ER_30 0.20 (longer-horizon noisier), Hurst 0.57, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a genuine low-vol bear trend in a clean downside push. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — full bearish stack, net moves all negative (4h -1.71%, 12h -3.51%, 24h -3.28%), OI falling (-6.5% 24h, oi_5m_z -1.93) on the down-move, rolling_z -1.55. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend fully aligned bearish with a very clean 10-bar efficiency push (0.94) and choppiness 26.6 confirming trend regime; silver spot ref XAG also -3.3% 24h, so token tracks spot weakness — trend-aligned short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: all four TFs are deeply oversold (1h RSI 23, 15m RSI 20.5, 5m RSI 27) and price sits at 5d/20d/90d low — an oversold-reclaim bounce from the low is the main risk; taker 1h 1.23 shows some dip-buying. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 44.212; stop above recent structure/invalidation at 45.02 (dist ~1.83%, ~0.43x rv_24h 42.4% implied daily, within range given 7d avg daily range 3.57%); stretch target down at 43.30 (dist ~2.06%, R:R ~1.13, well inside 4% clamp) — a reachable push to extend the low within 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold risk tempers conviction but trend+flow align strongly.
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