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SLVONUSD short — 5 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 46.8293 and stopped out at 47.47 after 14 hours, closing at -1.37%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-05 23:23 |
| Entry | 46.8293 |
| Stop-loss | 47.47 |
| Take-profit 1 | 46.4337 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 46.17 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 47.47 |
| Realized P&L | -1.37% |
| Time open | 14 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/4h bear_aligned, 1h bull, 15m mixed), 1h ADX 23.0 slope -0.79 (modest trend fading), choppiness 55.7 (range-bound edge), ER_10 0.32 / ER_30 0.10 (noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.57, HMM calm conf 1.0 — the recurring low-vol tokenized-silver chop with a decaying push. 2. LEAN CHECK: fresh momentum is clearly DOWN — net_move_4h -1.85%, 12h -2.26%, taker ratio 0.93 (sellers), OI collapsing (oi_change_24h -15.3%, oi_15m_z -1.97, momentum accelerating_down) — a coordinated de-risking leg lower that the SLVON short-side track record (3 of its recent wins were exactly this fade) rewards. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short — the strongest cluster is flow: taker-sell pressure plus accelerating_down OI unwind confirms the live down-impulse; 5m and 4h EMA both bear-aligned give HTF agreement to lean short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader position ratio is 3.07 and rising (+0.14 over 4h) — longs leaning in; a reclaim back above ~47.3 with the 1h bull EMA stack reasserting would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent swing/1h EMA reclaim at 47.47 (~1.37% = ~0.5x the 24h ~2.4% traversal, fitting low-vol silver); target the 5d-low zone extension at 46.17 (~1.41% below entry, R:R ~1.03, inside clamps, reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 2.42%). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors the fade but choppiness and top-trader long tilt keep it two-sided, with meaningful expire odds in this low-vol regime.
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