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SOLUSD long — 9 Aug 2026 (expired)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 76.9838 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 76.4 with a price move of -0.76%, and does not count in the win rate.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-09 15:08
Entry76.9838
Stop-loss75.62
Take-profit 178.2055
Take-profit 2 (stretch)79.02
Reward:risk at entry1.49
Outcomeexpired flat
Close price76.4
Realized P&L-0.76%
Time open24 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA stacks all bull-aligned with strong 1h ADX 41.6 (rising +1.35 slope), choppiness 45 / ER10 0.58, HMM calm, only 4h EMA mixed — a strong near-term bull trend under a lagging 4h. 2. LEAN CHECK: trend, flow and positioning all point up — long is favored. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.15, oi_change +3.4%) with taker 1.33 buy-heavy latest bucket and top-trader pos ratio 1.66 (rising) — real money leaning long into a strengthening trend, trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h RSI both overbought (72) and z_score +2.79 with price glued to 5d/20d/90d highs (-0.065%) — exhaustion at the top would flip this fast. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent structure at 75.62 (~1.77% risk, within realized range); stretch TP at 79.10 (~2.75% up, R:R ~1.55 clamped to 1.5x → an honest breakout continuation past the highs), reachable given avg 24h traversal and momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought extension caps upside probability; trend gives edge but chase risk is real.

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