SOLUSD long — 15 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 75.4557 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 75.3867 with a price move of -0.09%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-15 13:28 |
| Entry | 75.4557 |
| Stop-loss | 74.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 76.1123 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 76.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 75.3867 |
| Realized P&L | -0.09% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 0/4 (5m mixed, 15m bear, 1h mixed, 4h bull), ADX_1h 20.6 with falling slope (-2.4), choppiness 54.5, ER10/30 ~0.03 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a low-directionality chop/transitional tape with fading trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: momentum is nearly flat (net +0.31% 4h, +0.08% 12h, +0.14% 24h), but positioning gives a modest up-tilt — top-trader pos ratio 1.65 (account ratio 2.62), taker 1.26 with buy-heavy last bucket, OI +0.7% 24h, funding_z mildly positive; that's a thin long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the only coherent cluster is flow/positioning — top-traders net long and 1h taker buys leading — while 4h EMA remains bull_aligned, so a small trend-aligned long fits; RV at the 4th percentile means moves are muted, so keep geometry tight. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI momentum is accelerating_down and 15m EMA is bear-aligned — if sellers press through the 5d low (-0.7% away) the long is wrong. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the 5d low / recent structure at 74.55 (~1.2% risk, within the ~2.2% 7d range); stretch target at 76.55, ~1.45% up, R:R ~1.2 and reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal ~1.13%. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with weak edge and high expire rate on this asset (16/33 expired) — p_tp1 40, p_sl 34, p_expire 26.
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