SOLUSD long — 16 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 75.3774 and stopped out at 74.42 after 8.2 hours, closing at -1.27%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-16 13:28 |
| Entry | 75.3774 |
| Stop-loss | 74.42 |
| Take-profit 1 | 76.141 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 76.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 74.42 |
| Realized P&L | -1.27% |
| Time open | 8.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 — 5m/15m/1h EMA all bear-aligned but 4h still bull-aligned, ADX_1h 19 (rising slope +2.96), adx_20 15, Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), choppiness 60.3 (borderline chop), ER10 0.26/ER30 0.05 (nets nowhere), HMM calm, RV at 0.5 pctile — a low-directionality, near-dead chop tape with a slight near-term bear tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is flat-to-down (net -0.25% 24h, -0.08% 12h, +0.07% 4h) but OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.93) and top-trader position ratio 1.58 leans long — flow/positioning tilt up against a bear-stacked short-TF; the OI build with buy-heavy latest taker (1.02) and strongly negative funding (agg_z -0.68, unwinding shorts) modestly favors a long squeeze lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/positioning — OI accelerating_up on very depressed RV with top-traders positioned long (1.58) and funding negative (shorts paying), a setup that resolves up as shorts cover; the 4h EMA still bull-aligned supports the higher-TF side. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m/1h all bear-stacked — if price loses the 5d-low area (+0.60% below) the OI build flips to fresh short pressure and this fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 75.38, stop below 5d-low/recent structure at 74.42 (~1.27%, within the low-RV 24h range), stretch TP at 76.65 (~1.68%, ~1.32x stop distance) toward the 5d-high reclaim zone. 6. EXPECTATION: coin-flippy chop regime with a thin long lean and high expire risk given RV at 0.5 pctile.
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