SOLUSD long — 18 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 76.8634 and hit its target at 78.55 after 22.1 hours, closing at +2.19%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-18 14:43 |
| Entry | 76.8634 |
| Stop-loss | 75.62 |
| Take-profit 1 | 77.8754 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 78.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 78.55 |
| Realized P&L | +2.19% |
| Time open | 22.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/15m/4h bull, 1h EMA mixed), 1h ADX 14.3 rising (+3.5 slope), adx_20 10.6, choppiness 39 (edge of trending), ER10 0.49/ER30 0.27, Hurst 0.22 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a bull-tilted but low-conviction transitional tape sitting at the 5d/20d/90d highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is up (net +1.33% 4h, +2.09% 12h, +1.17% 24h), price pinned at 5d/90d high (+0.000 from 5d high), and top-trader positioning strongly long (account 2.56, position 1.60, both rising) — lean long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 5m/15m/4h EMA stacks bull, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +4.98, agg OI +4.67% 24h) confirming fresh money chasing a push into the 90d high, with top-traders skewed long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: this is a chop regime (Hurst 0.22 mean-reverting, adx_20 10.6) at the top of range with taker 1h 0.88 sell-heavy latest and RV at median — a rejection off the 90d high flips this to a fade fast; invalidation is a loss of the recent breakout base near 75.7. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 75.62 just below the intraday base and prior consolidation (~1.6% risk, ~0.55x rv_24h day-range, honest invalidation); take_profit_1 78.55 as the stretch into fresh 90d-high extension, R:R ~1.1, ~2.2% and inside the 4% clamp, reachable given 4h atr 0.95%. 6. EXPECTATION: mean-reverting Hurst + chop history at range top tempers upside; p_tp1 40, p_sl 35, p_expire 25.
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