SOLUSD long — 20 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 85.73 and hit its target at 87.122 after 1.6 hours, closing at +1.62%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-20 06:42 |
| Entry | 85.73 |
| Stop-loss | 84.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 87.122 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 88.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.38 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 87.122 |
| Realized P&L | +1.62% |
| Time open | 1.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4/4 full_bullish MTF, 1h ADX 63 (very strong) with slightly positive slope, choppiness 34 (trending), ER30 0.58, Hurst 0.60, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a powerful, still-intact bull trend, though 4h RSI 83.5 / rolling z +4.0 / RV at 98th pctile flag a very stretched tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: HTF trend, top-trader pos ratio 2.04 long, OI +4.8% 24h, greed regime, +11.4% 24h momentum, taker 1.23 buy-heavy — everything leans long; only the stretched RSI/z-score and accelerating_down OI momentum caution against chasing. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full EMA stack across all four TFs plus a dominant top-trader long tilt (2.04) and buy-heavy taker flow keep the path of least resistance up. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 74-83 overbought with rolling z +4 and oi_momentum accelerating_down means a sharp mean-reversion pullback breaking the 1h EMA structure would invalidate; I keep confidence moderate and stop below the recent swing. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 85.73; stop 84.05 below the near-term swing/1h structure (~1.96% ~ within 24h RV range); stretch TP 88.05 (~2.7%, R:R ~1.38) at the extension above prior 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched and near highs, so meaningful pullback/expire risk.
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