SOLUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 89.83 and hit its target at 91.012 after 3.4 hours, closing at +1.32%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 02:41 |
| Entry | 89.83 |
| Stop-loss | 88.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 91.012 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 91.8 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.11 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 91.012 |
| Realized P&L | +1.32% |
| Time open | 3.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4/4 full_bullish MTF, 1h ADX 56.6 (very strong) with positive slope +0.53, choppiness 42.9 (trending-side of neutral), ER10 0.44/ER30 0.38 (moderately clean), Hurst 0.62 (persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong, still-intact bull trend, but 4h RSI 88 / rolling z +3.13 / RV 82nd pctile / price at 5d-20d-90d highs flag a stretched tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: HTF trend, top-trader pos ratio 1.98 long, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.33), and +5.9% 24h momentum all point long — clear long lean despite stretch. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-alignment cluster is dominant — 4/4 EMA stack, ADX 56 rising, Hurst persistent, top-traders positioned long and OI building into the move (accelerating_up) — momentum-follow that this asset's own record (5/5 recent bull_trend longs won) supports. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 88 on 4h + rolling z +3.13 + top_trader_pos_ratio deltas both negative (-0.04 1h, -0.06 4h) signal fading conviction — a mean-reversion snap below the recent breakout shelf invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 89.83; stop below the near-term breakout structure at 88.05 (~1.98% risk, roughly in-line with 24h realized range given RV 53%); stretch TP at 91.80 (~2.19% reward, R:R ~1.1, inside clamps) — an honest continuation extension reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 2.16% and current momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: trend strong but stretch is real, so meaningful expire/reversal probability.
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