SOLUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 95.14 and stopped out at 93.05 after 1.5 hours, closing at -2.20%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 07:35 |
| Entry | 95.14 |
| Stop-loss | 93.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 96.766 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 97.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 93.05 |
| Realized P&L | -2.20% |
| Time open | 1.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/15m/4h EMA bull-aligned but 5m mixed (alignment 2/4), 1h ADX 47.6 strong but slope -10.1 (fading hard), ER10 0.10 (very noisy/stalled), choppiness 34.5 (trending edge), Hurst 0.51 neutral, HMM calm — a strong-but-decelerating bull trend that has stalled into a pullback this session. 2. LEAN CHECK: net +5.2% 24h / +4.6% 12h but net -1.7% 4h shows a fresh intraday pullback within an intact HTF uptrend; the trend-aligned long side still has edge. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend up (bull EMA stack 15m/1h/4h, ADX 47), OI +3.4% with rising notional, top-trader position ratio 2.08 (strongly net-long), agg funding z +1.31 — flow and positioning both favor longs; the -1.7% 4h dip is a buy-the-pullback entry rather than a reversal. 4. PRE-MORTEM: ADX slope -10 + ER10 0.10 + 4h RSI 81.6 overbought + rolling z +2.42 warn the trend is exhausting; a break below the recent pullback low (~93.3) invalidates the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 95.14; stop 93.05 below the pullback structure (~2.2% ≈ 0.75x atr_pct_1h*RV context, honest invalidation); stretch TP 97.85 at prior intraday resistance / near 5d-high retest, ~2.85% up, R:R ~1.3. 6. EXPECTATION: intact trend but stretched and decelerating — modest edge, meaningful expire risk from stall.
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