SOLUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 99.8671 and hit its target at 101.7168 after 9 minutes, closing at +1.85%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 04:35 |
| Entry | 99.8671 |
| Stop-loss | 97.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.7168 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 102.95 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 101.7168 |
| Realized P&L | +1.85% |
| Time open | 9 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4/4 full_bullish MTF, 1h ADX 57.2 with positive slope +2.57 (very strong, still strengthening), choppiness 32.0 (trending), ER10 0.75 (clean one-way), Hurst 0.54 (mildly persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a powerful, intact and accelerating bull trend, though very stretched (4h RSI 93, rolling z +3.31, RV 100th pctile, price at 5d/20d/90d highs). 2. LEAN CHECK: HTF trend, OI, positioning and taker flow all point up — clear long lean; the only counterweight is exhaustion risk, not a two-sided tape. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — top-trader pos ratio 2.29 (still adding, +0.15 over 4h), OI accelerating_up (+9.9% 24h, oi_5m_z +3.5), taker 1.21 buy-heavy latest, funding only mildly elevated (z +1.07) not extreme; this asset just printed four straight bull_trend wins (+2.3 to +3.2%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: with 4h RSI 93 and RV at the 100th percentile, a blow-off exhaustion reversal that breaks back below the prior consolidation would invalidate; funding_momentum is already -0.04 (unwinding). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 99.87; stop 97.35 below the near-term shelf (~2.5% / ~1.1x the 2.86% avg 24h traversal, within the vol band given 113 RV); stretch TP 102.95 (~1.22x the stop distance, ~3.1% up, inside clamps) at a modest extension of the intact trend. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but extreme stretch and high RV widen both tails — p_tp1 51, p_sl 32, p_expire 17.
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