SOLUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 99.3237 and stopped out at 96.85 after 18 minutes, closing at -2.49%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 04:50 |
| Entry | 99.3237 |
| Stop-loss | 96.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.3195 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 102.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.34 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 96.85 |
| Realized P&L | -2.49% |
| Time open | 18 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4/4 full_bullish MTF, 1h ADX 57.6 with positive slope +2.94 (very strong, still strengthening), choppiness 26.7 (strongly trending), ER10 0.74 (clean one-way), Hurst 0.54 (mildly persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a powerful, intact and accelerating bull trend, though extremely stretched (4h RSI 92.8, 1h RSI 81.5, rolling z +3.24, RV 100th pctile, price sitting at 5d/20d/90d highs). 2. LEAN CHECK: HTF trend, OI accelerating up (oi_momentum accelerating_up, 15m OI z +5.7), top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.29, rising +0.15 over 4h) and taker flow buy-tilted latest bucket 1.21 all point long — the lean is clearly long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned momentum cluster — accelerating OI into a 57 ADX rising bull with top-traders adding longs and same-regime signals winning 5/5 recently — is the dominant read; ride the trend not fade it. 4. PRE-MORTEM: at +11% 24h with RSI 92 on 4h and RV at 100th pctile, a mean-reversion snap is the risk; a break back below ~97.2 would signal the stretched trend rolling over. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 96.85 sits below the near-term reclaim/support shelf (~1.5x atr_pct_1h, ~2.5% below mark, within the 24h realized range given RV); take_profit_1 stretch 102.65 = ~3.36% above entry, R:R ~1.35, inside 4% clamp and reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 2.86% and current momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but very stretched, so meaningful pullback/expire odds.
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