SOLUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 95.015 and hit its target at 96.536 after 22 hours, closing at +1.60%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 14:54 |
| Entry | 95.015 |
| Stop-loss | 93.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 96.536 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 97.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 96.536 |
| Realized P&L | +1.60% |
| Time open | 22 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 with 4h ADX 53 (strong trend, RSI 69.9 hot but not extreme) yet 1h ADX only 12.2 and fading (slope -0.57), ER10 0.61 (decent short-run cleanliness) but ER30 0.05 (nets nowhere longer-horizon), choppiness 47, Hurst 0.43, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong 4h uptrend cooling into a low-ADX intraday consolidation. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence favors long — full EMA stack, positive net 4h (+1.43%) and 24h (+1.83%), top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.33, acct 2.61), OI momentum accelerating_up; only 1h ADX weakness and slightly stretched z (+1.63) cut against. 3. THESIS: trend-alignment cluster (4/4 bull MTF + strong 4h ADX) plus positioning (top-trader long-skew, taker 1.04, funding_z modestly positive) support a continuation long; the recent 4h ER10 0.61 shows the latest leg is directional not pure chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: SOL sits -4.2% below 5d/20d/90d high — a rejection there or a break of the ~93.4 intraday shelf flips this into another failed-continuation short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 95.02; stop 93.05 just below the intraday support shelf (~2.07% risk, ~0.6x the 3.13% avg 24h traversal, inside RV band); take_profit_1 97.55 (~2.66% / ~1.28x risk) targeting a retest toward the 5d high band, inside clamps and reachable within 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: hot 4h but stalled 1h with recent SL-heavy same-regime record tempers p_tp1.
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