AAVEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 139.545 and hit its target at 143.85 after 5.5 hours, closing at +3.08%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Entry | 139.545 |
| Stop-loss | 135.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 142.128 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 143.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.01 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 143.85 |
| Realized P&L | +3.08% |
| Time open | 5.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 27.99 with strongly positive slope +7.94 (trend strengthening), 4h ADX 50.8, choppiness 36.8 (trending edge), ER-10 0.62 (clean one-way path), HMM volatile 0.89 — a violent +13.7% 24h bull impulse pinned at the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — HTF trend, OI acceleration (oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi_5m_z +2.81, agg_oi +25.4%) and top-trader positioning (pos ratio 1.53, rising +0.049 over 4h) all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is OI acceleration into a fresh breakout at the highs with top-trader longs adding — a trend-aligned momentum push confirmed by three prior wins on this exact template. 4. PRE-MORTEM: overbought exhaustion — 1h RSI 70.8, 4h RSI 80.5, rolling z +2.73, RV at 88th pctile, taker ratio 0.87 (sellers dominant last 1h) — a stall/reversal at the high would flip this fast (as two recent losses showed). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 139.55; stop below the recent intraday shelf at 135.30 (~3.05% risk, ~1.1x the 24h atr_pct of ~2.8% 1h/4.1% 4h), just under the breakout base; TP1 stretch at 143.85 (~3.08% reward, R:R ~1.01, inside 4% clamp) at prior micro-resistance the impulse points to. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum-favored but overbought/late in the move with contradicting taker flow, so meaningful reversal risk and expire tail.
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