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SOLUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 95.25 and stopped out at 93.35 after 1.3 hours, closing at -1.99%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-23 13:24
Entry95.25
Stop-loss93.35
Take-profit 196.69
Take-profit 2 (stretch)97.65
Reward:risk at entry1.26
Outcomestopped out
Close price93.35
Realized P&L-1.99%
Time open1.3 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 with 4h ADX 53 (strong) but RSI 70 overbought, yet 1h ADX only 12.9 fading (slope -0.22), ER10 0.33/ER30 0.04 (noisy, netting nowhere), choppiness 45, Hurst 0.43, HMM calm — a strong 4h bull trend stalled into intraday chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: EMA stack bull across all TFs, +2.0% net 4h and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.33), OI accelerating_up — evidence leans long despite the chop. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full bull EMA stack + top-trader position ratio 2.33 + oi_momentum accelerating_up + fresh +2.0% 4h momentum thrust off the intraday base; funding only mildly positive (z 1.0) so not crowded. 4. PRE-MORTEM: last-hour taker ratio 0.735 (sellers pressing) plus 4h RSI 70 overbought — a rejection here would roll the stalled trend into a pullback and hit stop. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the intraday base at 93.35 (invalidates the reclaim), ~1.99% risk within the ~3.1% 24h traversal; TP stretch at 97.65 (~2.52% up), R:R ~1.27, an honest structural level near the 5d high (-3.98% above). 6. EXPECTATION: base rate on SOL longs ~66% wr but overbought+fading 1h ADX temper it.

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