AAVEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 135.11 and hit its target at 138.3526 after 9 minutes, closing at +2.40%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 13:09 |
| Entry | 135.11 |
| Stop-loss | 130.2 |
| Take-profit 1 | 138.3526 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 140.5144 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 138.3526 |
| Realized P&L | +2.40% |
| Time open | 9 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 22 with positive slope +4.48 (strengthening), 4h ADX 50, choppiness 40.4 (trending edge), ER-10 0.59 (moderately clean), Hurst 0.48 near-random, HMM volatile 0.89 — a fresh +7.3% 24h bull impulse sitting pinned at the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — HTF trend, OI acceleration and top-trader positioning all point up; nothing points down except overbought RSI. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +5.17, agg_oi_24h_delta +20.2%, oi_change_recent_half +13.1%) into a clean +7.5% 4h impulse with top_trader_pos_ratio 1.49 (long-skewed) and taker ratio 1.18 — flow, positioning and HTF trend all trend-aligned bullish. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought on all four TFs (73-81) and rolling z +2.55 signal exhaustion risk right at the high — a rejection/reversal candle off the extreme would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 135.11; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 130.20 (~3.6% risk, well within the ~10.6% 7d avg range and rv_24h); take_profit_1 stretch at 141.60 (~4.8% → clamped context but placed at ~1.32x stop distance ≈ 6.49 reward vs 4.91 risk, R:R ~1.32, honest structural extension above the high). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum-aligned but overbought at the extreme, so meaningful expire/reversal risk.
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