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SOLUSD long — 6 Sep 2026 (expired)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 106.55 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 105.121 with a price move of -1.34%, and does not count in the win rate.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-06 03:46
Entry106.55
Stop-loss103.85
Take-profit 1108.68
Take-profit 2 (stretch)110.1
Reward:risk at entry1.31
Outcomeexpired flat
Close price105.121
Realized P&L-1.34%
Time open24 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF bull-tilted (5m/15m/4h bull EMA, 1h mixed), 1h ADX 28.6 slope +5.1 (rising, genuine trend strengthening), 4h ADX 17.3, ER10 0.42 / ER30 0.47, choppiness 35 (trending edge), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm 0.9999 — a firm, strengthening recovery uptrend up +4.5% on the day. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +3.4% 4h / +4.6% 24h, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.48, account ratio 2.30), sitting at the 5d high. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend alignment + momentum — bull EMA on three TFs with rising ADX and top-trader positioning firmly long, price breaking to a fresh 5d high with agg OI +4.4% confirming fresh money into the move. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is severely stretched (5m 79, 15m 87, 1h 75) and 1h taker ratio 0.87 (sellers), so a mean-reversion pullback below the recent breakout shelf would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 106.55; stop 103.85 (2.53% / ~0.5x the 53% RV 24h, beneath the intraday breakout shelf and prior consolidation); TP1 stretch 110.10 (+3.33%, R:R ~1.3, inside 4% clamp) at a round resistance extension the momentum points to. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought stretch caps follow-through odds — p_tp1 47, p_sl 34, p_expire 19.

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