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SOLUSD long — 18 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 113.8731 and stopped out at 111.05 after 22.7 hours, closing at -2.48%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-18 19:27 |
| Entry | 113.8731 |
| Stop-loss | 111.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 115.9592 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 117.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 111.05 |
| Realized P&L | -2.48% |
| Time open | 22.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 55.4 slope +5.3 (very strong, still strengthening), ER10 0.77/ER30 0.72 (clean one-way up), choppiness 30 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm 0.9998 — a robust, accelerating uptrend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — net +12.8% 24h/+7.7% 12h/+2.4% 4h, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.92, agg_oi +16.6%, OI notional +$129M), top-trader pos ratio 2.15 heavily long, taker 1.07 buy-tilted. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — expanding OI into a strong strengthening trend with heavy top-trader long positioning; SOL has printed 4/4 same-regime wins today, and 30d WR 69% is the book's best. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 87 / 4h RSI 83 (deeply overbought) and z-score +4.6 vs 20d mean at 5d/20d/90d highs — a sharp mean-reversion pullback would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 113.87; stop 111.05 below the recent breakout shelf (~2.48% risk, ~0.33x rv_24h — within band for this elevated vol); stretch TP 117.35 at ~1.23x risk (+3.06%), inside the 4% clamp and reachable given avg 24h traversal 2.67% plus strong momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but overbought exhaustion caps upside — p_tp1 51, p_sl 31, p_expire 18.
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