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SOLUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 118.27 and stopped out at 116.05 after 17.5 hours, closing at -1.88%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 19:38 |
| Entry | 118.27 |
| Stop-loss | 116.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 119.908 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 121 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 116.05 |
| Realized P&L | -1.88% |
| Time open | 17.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 24.2 (genuine trend) but slope -2.5 (fading), 4h ADX 41 with RSI 71 overbought, ER10 0.19/ER30 0.017 (path nets nowhere near-term), choppiness 63 (range-bound edge), Hurst 0.65, HMM calm 0.999 — HTF uptrend intact but near-term momentum has stalled into consolidation. 2. LEAN CHECK: net -0.1% 24h / +1.7% 12h / +0.77% 4h — flat-to-mildly-up; trend structure and heavy top-trader longs favor LONG, so lean long modestly. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + positioning — full bull EMA stack across all 4 TFs, top-trader pos ratio 2.46 (heavy longs), OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.6, recent-half OI +0.34%), price pinned within 1% of 5d/20d/90d highs; 30d SOL track record 69% wr reinforces trend-follow edge here. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 71 overbought + ADX fading + ER near-zero says the trend is exhausting; a rejection off the 5d high back below ~117 invalidates and flushes crowded longs. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 118.27, stop 116.05 beyond the recent consolidation shelf (~1.9% ≈ 0.4x rv_24h, tight given stalled tape), take_profit_1 121.00 at a push through the 5d/20d high (~2.3% up, R:R ~1.23, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: crowded overbought trend with fading momentum — modest edge, meaningful expire risk given ER near-zero.
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