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HYPEUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 96.71 and stopped out at 94.814 after 14.2 hours, closing at -1.96%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 22:08 |
| Entry | 96.71 |
| Stop-loss | 94.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 98.054 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 98.95 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 94.814 |
| Realized P&L | -1.96% |
| Time open | 14.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF 4/4, 1h ADX 17.4 slope +0.96 (trend firming but modest), 4h ADX 38.5 strong, ER-10 0.16 / ER-30 0.26 (recent path choppy), choppiness 48 mid, Hurst 0.59 persistent, HMM calm 1.0 — a bull trend sitting right at its 5d/20d/90d high (-0.49%) after a fresh push. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — trend-aligned, at highs, flow supportive. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi_5m_z +2.37/15m_z +2.46, oi_change_24h +4.8%, top_trader_pos_ratio 1.83 (fast +0.036 slow +0.022 both building), taker 1.49 latest, funding only mildly positive z +0.58 (no crowding) — new money entering long into a fresh high, aligned with the 4/4 bull stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 70.4 overbought + Fear&Greed 78 Extreme Greed + rolling z +1.49 raise pullback/exhaustion risk; a decisive rejection back below the 5d-high shelf and loss of ~95.5 invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 96.71; stop_loss 94.85 just below the recent breakout shelf (~1.9%, in line with atr/rv given avg 4h move ~1.0% and 24h ~3.5%); take_profit_1 98.95 (~2.3%, ~1.2x stop distance, inside 4% clamp) targeting continuation above the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: trend+flow favor upside but overbought/greed caps the push and ER is choppy — p_tp1 44, p_sl 33, p_expire 23.
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