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SOLUSD long — 25 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 121.75 and stopped out at 118.6 after 2.6 hours, closing at -2.59%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-25 11:08 |
| Entry | 121.75 |
| Stop-loss | 118.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 124.21 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 125.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 118.6 |
| Realized P&L | -2.59% |
| Time open | 2.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 31.7 slope +5.7 (trend strengthening hard), ER10 0.64 (clean recent path), choppiness 35 (trending), Hurst 0.61 (persistent), HMM calm 0.999 — a clean, accelerating bull trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: strong LONG lean — full alignment, fresh +4.7% 4h / +7.5% 24h momentum, OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: multiple confirming clusters — trend alignment 4/4, OI flow (oi_5m_z +4.1, oi_15m_z +3.9, oi_change +6.6% accelerating_up), positioning (top-trader pos ratio 2.18, account ratio 1.86 heavily long), plus asset track record wr 68% on 78 trades; funding z +1.30 is the lone caution. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is stretched (5m 83 / 15m 83 / 1h 79 overbought) and price sits at 5d/20d/90d high (dist +0.000) with rolling z +1.59 — a blow-off exhaustion/mean-revert pullback is the risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 121.75; stop below the last intraday consolidation shelf at 118.60 (~2.6% risk, roughly 0.5x rv_24h, beyond the near breakout base); stretch target 125.85 (~3.36% up, R:R ~1.3, inside clamps) at fresh-high extension. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/at-highs tempers first-touch odds — p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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