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SOLUSD long — 2 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 122.2207 and stopped out at 119.35 after 13.1 hours, closing at -2.35%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 04:35 |
| Entry | 122.2207 |
| Stop-loss | 119.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 124.3563 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 125.78 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 119.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.35% |
| Time open | 13.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/15m/4h bull_aligned, 1h mixed), 1h ADX 17.4 slope +4.6 (sub-trend but firming), ER10 0.74 clean / ER30 0.31 noisier, choppiness 36.6 (edging into trend), Hurst 0.36 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0, F&G 72 Greed — transitional with a fresh, clean near-term bull impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG — fresh net +2.75%/4h, +4.30%/12h, taker last-bar 1.21, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +4.3, oi_15m_z +4.6), top-trader pos ratio 2.45 long-heavy. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI accelerating up with buy-heavy takers and a clean ER10 push confirms real money chasing this leg, reinforced by top-traders positioned 2.45x long; trend-aligned with the 5m/15m/4h bull stacks. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across 5m/15m/1h (71-76) and z-score +1.39 near 5d/20d/90d high (-1.83%) — an exhaustion rejection at the 90d ceiling would flip this to a fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the 12h impulse base / recent swing at 119.35 (0.71x rv_24h span, structural), stretch target to 125.75 just under round resistance (R:R ~1.24, inside clamps given atr/rv). 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum but overbought at range top caps upside and lifts chop/fade risk.
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