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SOLUSD long — 21 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 108.88 and stopped out at 106.55 after 10 hours, closing at -2.14%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-21 15:39 |
| Entry | 108.88 |
| Stop-loss | 106.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 110.542 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 111.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 106.55 |
| Realized P&L | -2.14% |
| Time open | 10 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m/1h bull_aligned, 4h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 26.7 slope +3.7 firming, ER10 0.77 (clean near-term) but ER30 0.34 / Hurst 0.29 flag mean-reversion at longer horizon — a near-term bull impulse inside a transitional structure; HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG — price +3.3% on day, net_move_pct_4h/12h/24h all positive, sitting pinned at the 5d high (+0.000) with top-traders heavily long and OI accelerating up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI/flow cluster strongest — oi_momentum accelerating_up, agg_oi_24h_delta +0.39, oi_5m_z +2.05, top_trader_pos_ratio 2.25 and account_ratio 2.73 all heavily long, aligned with the three lower-TF bull stacks and ADX firming; funding negative (not crowded) leaves room to run. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 72-76 overbought across 5m/15m/1h + rolling_z +2.03 + 4h bear stack means an exhaustion rejection off the 5d high would flip this fast. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 108.88; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 106.55 (~2.14%, within ~0.5x rv_24h); stretch TP at 111.65 (~2.55%, R:R ~1.19, inside clamps) — a reach toward the 20d-high zone. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought into resistance tempers upside; track record strong (63.9% wr) but same-regime chop longs have struggled recently.
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