Home › Signals › October 2026 › PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD long — 21 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on PAXGUSD entered at 4,136.2 and stopped out at 4,113 after 2.6 hours, closing at -0.56%.
| Asset | PAXGUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-21 16:24 |
| Entry | 4,136.2 |
| Stop-loss | 4,113 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,153.5 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,165 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 4,113 |
| Realized P&L | -0.56% |
| Time open | 2.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA stacks both bear-aligned but 5m bull / 15m mixed (alignment 0/4, mtf mixed), 1h ADX 12.5 slope -0.71, choppiness 65.6 (clearly choppy), ER-10 0.36/ER-30 0.09 (noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.40 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, genuinely range-bound gold tape with no real trend, spot gold +0.23% 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: thin lean — the data is two-sided (bear EMA on higher TF but positive net moves on 12h/24h and spot gold flat-to-up, OI building +0.94% 24h, taker ratio 0.78 recent sells but top-traders heavily long 4.2x and rising) — the mild momentum (net +0.34% 12h, +0.28% 24h) and top-trader long skew tip a soft long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: top_trader_pos_ratio 4.2x and rising (4h chg +0.18), OI accumulating, and positive 12h/24h net moves point mildly up; counter to the stale 1h/4h bear EMA but no trend strength (ADX 12) to respect — in low-ADX chop, momentum + positioning matters more than the EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: spot gold rolling over (it's -0.47% 1d on yfinance macro feed, diverging from Binance XAU +0.23%) would kill this; a break below the 5d low (-0.48% away) invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4136.20; stop below recent swing / 5d-low zone at 4113.0 (~0.56% risk, ~0.5x rv_24h, sensible for low-vol gold); stretch TP at 4165.0 (~0.70% reward, R:R ~1.24, inside clamps) toward the 5d-high area reachable in 24h given avg 24h traversal ~0.47%. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy low-conviction range so meaningful expire probability.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.