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SOLUSD long — 6 Nov 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 90.82 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 89.934 with a price move of -0.98%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-06 14:53 |
| Entry | 90.82 |
| Stop-loss | 88.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 92.158 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 93.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 89.934 |
| Realized P&L | -0.98% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA stacks bear_aligned, 15m/5m mixed-to-bull, MTF 0/4 but regime labeled bear_trend; 1h ADX 33.4 slope -5.1 (strong but fading), 4h ADX 27.6, Hurst 0.37 (mild mean-reversion), choppiness 54, HMM calm — a higher-TF downtrend that has flushed (-2.4% 24h, z-score -1.36) and is bouncing intraday. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided — higher-TF trend is short, but near-term momentum (net +0.80% 4h, 5m bull-aligned RSI 62, ADX fading) and OI accelerating_up with top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.33, acct ratio 4.04) favor a bounce; the fresh impulse up out of oversold wins the tiebreak as a long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: long on the OI accelerating_up + oi_15m_z +1.83 + rising top-trader positioning into a -1.36 z-score discount, with 5m/15m stacks turning bullish and recent taker buckets strongly positive (1.24-1.32) — a reclaim bounce off the 5d-low region. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell_ratio_1h 0.84 (sellers still dominant this hour) plus a risk-off macro tape (SPX -4.4%, VIX +70%, total mcap -7.9%) could resume the dominant 4h downtrend and kill the bounce. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 90.82; stop_loss 88.95 below the 5d-low/recent-flush structure (~2.06% / ~0.8x daily range); take_profit_1 93.05 at the prior intraday shelf (~2.45% up, ~1.19x stop distance, RR ~1.19, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold bounce with macro headwind — p_tp1 42, p_sl 38, p_expire 20.
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