SOLUSD short — 12 Aug 2026 (expired)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 75.5507 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 76.418 with a price move of -1.15%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-12 22:26 |
| Entry | 75.5507 |
| Stop-loss | 77.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 74.3803 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 73.6 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 76.418 |
| Realized P&L | -1.15% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 — 5m/15m EMA stacks bear-aligned, 1h/4h mixed; ADX_1h 14.9 fading (slope -0.41), adx_20 12.2, Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting), choppiness 45.5, ER30 0.11 (nets nowhere), HMM calm — a low-directionality chop tape with a bear tilt on lower TFs. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is down (net -0.42% 4h, -1.58% 12h, -1.13% 24h), OI accelerating_down (oi_change_recent_half -2.36%, 15m z -0.63), fear_greed 27 — the short side has the modest edge as price bleeds and leverage unwinds. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is flow/OI + momentum — falling OI into a down move (positions closing on longs) with 5m/15m bear-stacked and 12h/24h net negative, trend-aligned on the near horizon. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 1.68 (long-heavy) and funding deeply negative (z -1.50) — a short-squeeze reclaim of the 5d-high area near 77.4 would invalidate; taker 1.04 buy-tilted latest also cautions. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 75.55, stop above the recent swing/5d-high shelf at 77.15 (~2.1%), take_profit_1 at 73.60 structural support toward the 5d-low zone (~2.6% / ~1.2x stop distance), reachable given ~1.2% typical 24h traversal and elevated RV. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with bear tilt but weak ADX — modest edge, meaningful expire risk.
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